Tuesday, August 26, 2008

And the Olympics winner is … Jamaica!

On a per capita basis, the best performing nation in the 2008 Olympics was – by far – Jamaica. Despite a population of only 2.7 million people, Jamaicans won six gold medals. No other nation had close to one gold per million, except for Bahrain a small nation which won a single gold. #2 was Jamaica’s Caribbean neighbor, Bahamas. Among the medals leaders, Australia (46 total medals) did best at #7 per capita.

Although China won more gold than any other country, it earned only .04 gold medals per million people. Jamaicans traveling from the far side of the planet bested the home country by a ratio of 60:1! Overall, it came in at only #64. The US, despite the greatest combination of wealth and infrastructure was hardly outstanding either, ranking only #43 overall. Although the US won more medals (110) than any other country, its .36 medals per million people is not even in the same league as the per-capita leaders.

The prize for the best performing region goes to the Caribbean. In addition to Jamaica and Bahamas, the largest Caribbean country, Cuba, also did very well – #11 per capita (Cuba’s 41 medals represent 2.1 medals per million people, 6 times the US medals rate) and Trinidad and Tobago #15. The two other very strong regions were Australia (#7)/New Zealand (#10), and northernmost Europe (Iceland #3, Norway #5, Estonia #9 Latvia #14 Denmark # 16 and Lithuania #19, as well as the Netherlands #17, Great Britain #21 and Finland #27).

Monday, August 25, 2008

Final 2008 Per Capita National Olympic Performance

Rank Country Gold medal Silver medal Bronze medals 4-2-1 points pop (mil) 421 points /mil Gold medals /mil Tot medals /mil
1 Jamaica 6 3 2 32 3 11.79 2.211 4.05
2 Bahamas 0 1 1 3 0 9.06 .000 6.04
3 Iceland 0 1 0 2 0 6.32 .000 3.16
4 Bahrain 1 0 0 4 1 5.26 1.315 1.32
5 Norway 3 5 2 24 5 5.02 .628 2.09
6 Slovenia 1 2 2 10 2 4.93 .493 2.46
7 Australia 14 15 17 103 21 4.81 .654 2.15
8 Mongolia 2 2 0 12 3 4.56 .761 1.52
9 Estonia 1 1 0 6 1 4.48 .746 1.49
10 New Zealand 3 1 5 19 4 4.45 .702 2.11
11 Cuba 2 11 11 41 11 3.64 .177 2.13
12 Georgia 3 0 3 15 4 3.41 .682 1.36
13 Slovakia 3 2 1 17 5 3.15 .555 1.11
14 Latvia 1 1 1 7 2 3.09 .441 1.32
15 Trinidad and Tobago 0 2 0 4 1 3.00 .000 1.50
16 Denmark 2 2 3 15 5 2.73 .364 1.28
17 Netherlands 7 5 4 42 16 2.55 .426 .97
18 Hungary 3 5 2 24 10 2.39 .299 1.00
19 Lithuania 0 2 3 7 3 2.08 .000 1.49
20 Armenia 0 0 6 6 3 2.00 .000 2.00
21 Great Britain 19 13 15 117 61 1.93 .314 .78
22 Belarus 1 3 7 17 10 1.75 .103 1.14
23 Czech Republic 3 3 0 18 10 1.73 .288 .58
24 South Korea 13 10 8 80 48 1.66 .270 .64
25 Switzerland 2 0 4 12 8 1.57 .262 .79
26 Croatia 0 2 3 7 5 1.54 .000 1.10
27 Finland 1 1 2 8 5 1.50 .188 .75
28 Kazakhstan 2 4 7 23 15 1.49 .130 .84
29 Azerbaijan 1 2 4 12 8 1.42 .118 .83
30 Germany 16 10 15 99 82 1.20 .195 .50
31 Panama 1 0 0 4 3 1.20 .299 .30
32 France 7 16 17 77 64 1.19 .109 .62
33 Bulgaria 1 1 3 9 8 1.18 .131 .65
34 Ukraine 7 5 15 53 46 1.15 .152 .59
35 Russia 23 21 28 162 142 1.14 .162 .51
36 Canada 3 9 6 36 33 1.08 .090 .54
37 Italy 8 10 10 62 60 1.04 .134 .47
38 Romania 4 1 3 21 21 .98 .187 .37
39 Sweden 0 4 1 9 9 .98 .000 .54
40 Spain 5 10 3 43 46 .93 .109 .39
41 Kenya 5 5 4 34 38 .91 .133 .37
42 Ireland 0 1 2 4 4 .90 .000 .68
43 United States 36 38 36 256 305 .84 .118 .36
44 Mauritius 0 0 1 1 1 .79 .000 .79
45 Zimbabwe 1 3 0 10 13 .75 .075 .30
46 Poland 3 6 1 25 38 .66 .079 .26
47 Belgium 1 1 0 6 10 .60 .100 .20
48 Portugal 1 1 0 6 11 .56 .094 .19
49 Kyrgyzstan 0 1 1 3 5 .56 .000 .38
50 North Korea 2 1 3 13 24 .55 .084 .25
51 Greece 0 2 2 6 11 .54 .000 .36
52 Austria 0 1 2 4 8 .48 .000 .36
53 Japan 9 6 10 58 128 .45 .070 .20
54 Tajikistan 0 1 1 3 7 .45 .000 .30
55 Singapore 0 1 0 2 5 .44 .000 .22
56 Serbia 0 1 2 4 10 .41 .000 .30
57 Uzbekistan 1 2 3 11 27 .40 .037 .22
58 Tunisia 1 0 0 4 10 .39 .097 .10
59 Argentina 2 0 4 12 40 .30 .050 .15
60 Moldova 0 0 1 1 4 .26 .000 .26
61 Ethiopia 4 1 2 20 79 .25 .050 .09
62 Cameroon 1 0 0 4 19 .22 .054 .05
63 Turkey 1 4 3 15 71 .21 .014 .11
64 China 51 21 28 274 1,326 .21 .038 .08
65 Thailand 2 2 0 12 64 .19 .031 .06
66 Chinese Taipei 0 0 4 4 23 .17 .000 .17
67 Togo 0 0 1 1 7 .15 .000 .15
68 Ecuador 0 1 0 2 13 .15 .000 .07
69 Brazil 3 4 8 28 187 .15 .016 .08
70 Israel 0 0 1 1 7 .14 .000 .14
71 Chile 0 1 0 2 17 .12 .000 .06
72 Morocco 0 1 1 3 31 .10 .000 .06
73 Algeria 0 1 1 3 34 .09 .000 .06
74 Mexico 2 0 1 9 107 .08 .019 .03
75 Malaysaia 0 1 0 2 27 .07 .000 .04
76 Iran 1 0 1 5 70 .07 .014 .03
77 Colombia 0 1 1 3 45 .07 .000 .04
78 Sudan 0 1 0 2 39 .05 .000 .03
79 South Africa 0 1 0 2 48 .04 .000 .02
80 Indonesia 1 1 3 9 232 .04 .004 .02
81 Afghanistan 0 0 1 1 27 .04 .000 .04
82 Venezuela 0 0 1 1 28 .04 .000 .04
83 Nigeria 0 1 3 5 148 .03 .000 .03
84 Vietnam 0 1 0 2 87 .02 .000 .01
85 Egypt 0 0 1 1 75 .01 .000 .01
86 India 1 0 2 6 1,137 .01 .001 .00
231 Totals 298 300 350 2110 6,671 .32 .045 .14

Tuesday, August 19, 2008

Per Capita National Olympic Performance

Standard Olympic medal standings neglect obvious comparative inequities. The most glaring of these are vast differences in national populations. Per capita, the US ranks only #35 in medal performance and China ranks only #53. China's 39 gold medals -- 21% of the Olympic total -- are impressive until you realize that China also has 20% of the world's population. Its 15% take of total medals is considerably less than its share of world population, even though it has all the advantages of being the home country (and may well have cheated).

Per-capita, Jamaica, Slovenia and Estonia are #1, 2 and 3 although given that a single medal puts them in or takes them out of the top ten, these positions are not in a sense statistically significant. Among overall medal leader, no country is close to Australia (#4) which has more than 6 times as many medals per capita as the US, and nearly 30 times as many medals per capita as China.

Moreover, these figures may understate smaller nation performance. Many US and Chinese medals come from "team" events, in which small countries are at an extreme disadvantage.

Rank Country Gold medals Silver medals Bronze medals 4-2-1 points pop (mil)
Gold medals /mil Tot medals /mil 421 points /mil
1 Jamaica 2 3 0 14 3 .737 1.84 5.16
2 Slovenia 1 2 2 10 2 .493 2.46 4.93
3 Estonia 1 1 0 6 1 .746 1.49 4.48
4 Australia 11 12 12 80 21 .514 1.64 3.74
5 New Zealand 2 1 3 13 4 .468 1.40 3.04
6 Slovakia 3 1 0 14 5 .555 .74 2.59
7 Denmark 2 1 3 13 5 .364 1.09 2.37
8 Mongolia 1 1 0 6 3 .380 .76 2.28
9 Norway 1 2 2 10 5 .209 1.05 2.09
10 Georgia 2 0 1 9 4 .455 .68 2.05
11 Netherlands 4 5 4 30 16 .243 .79 1.82
12 Belarus 1 3 7 17 10 .103 1.14 1.75
13 Cuba 1 5 5 19 11 .089 .98 1.69
14 Armenia 0 0 5 5 3 .000 1.67 1.67
15 Trinidad and Tobago 0 1 0 2 1 .000 .75 1.50
16 Great Britain 16 9 8 90 61 .264 .54 1.49
17 Switzerland 2 0 3 11 8 .262 .65 1.44
18 Czech Republic 2 3 0 14 10 .192 .48 1.35
19 Finland 1 1 1 7 5 .188 0.56 1.32
20 South Korea 8 10 6 58 48 .166 .50 1.20
21 Panama 1 0 0 4 3 .299 .30 1.20
22 Lithuania 0 1 2 4 3 .000 .89 1.19
23 Azerbaijan 1 2 2 10 8 .118 0.59 1.18
24 Bulgaria 1 1 2 8 8 .131 .52 1.05
25 Romania 4 1 3 21 21 .187 .37 .98
26 Kazakhstan 1 3 4 14 15 .065 .52 .91
27 Hungary 0 4 1 9 10 .000 .50 .90
28 Germany 11 8 9 69 82 .134 .34 .84
29 France 4 11 14 52 64 .062 .45 .81
30 Ukraine 5 4 8 36 46 .109 .37 .78
31 Canada 2 6 5 25 33 .060 0.39 .75
32 Zimbabwe 1 3 0 10 13 .075 .30 .75
33 Italy 6 6 7 43 60 .101 .32 .72
34 Croatia 0 1 1 3 5 .000 .44 .66
35 Sweden 0 3 0 6 9 .000 .33 .65
36 Russia 10 14 18 86 142 .070 .30 .61
37 United States 26 26 27 183 305 .085 .26 .60
38 North Korea 2 1 4 14 24 .084 .29 .59
39 Kyrgyzstan 0 1 1 3 5 .000 .38 .56
40 Poland 3 4 1 21 38 .079 .21 .55
41 Austria 0 1 2 4 8 .000 .36 .48
42 Spain 3 4 2 22 46 .065 .20 .48
43 Latvia 0 0 1 1 2 .000 .44 .44
44 Singapore 0 1 0 2 5 .000 .22 .44
45 Kenya 2 3 2 16 38 .053 .19 .43
46 Japan 8 6 8 52 128 .063 .17 .41
47 Tunisia 1 0 0 4 10 .097 .10 .39
48 Greece 0 1 2 4 11 .000 .27 .36
49 Serbia 0 1 1 3 10 .000 .20 .30
50 Cameroon 1 0 0 4 19 .054 .05 .22
51 Portugal 0 1 0 2 11 .000 .09 .19
52 Uzbekistan 0 1 3 5 27 .000 .15 .18
53 China 43 14 19 219 1,326 .032 .06 .17
54 Togo 0 0 1 1 7 .000 .15 .15
55 Ecuador 0 1 0 2 13 .000 .07 .15
56 Tajikistan 0 0 1 1 7 .000 .15 .15
57 Ethiopia 2 1 0 10 79 .025 .04 .13
58 Argentina 1 0 1 5 40 .025 .05 .12
59 Chile 0 1 0 2 17 .000 .06 .12
60 Algeria 0 1 1 3 34 .000 .06 .09
61 Chinese Taipei 0 0 2 2 23 .000 .09 .09
62 Malaysaia 0 1 0 2 27 .000 .04 .07
63 Turkey 0 2 1 5 71 .000 .04 .07
64 Colombia 0 1 1 3 45 .000 .04 .07
65 Thailand 1 0 0 4 64 .016 .02 .06
66 Brazil 1 0 5 9 187 .005 .03 .05
67 South Africa 0 1 0 2 48 .000 .02 .04
68 Indonesia 1 1 3 9 232 .004 .02 .04
69 Morocco 0 0 1 1 31 .000 .03 .03
70 Vietnam 0 1 0 2 87 .000 .01 .02
71 Iran 0 0 1 1 70 .000 .01 .01
72 Egypt 0 0 1 1 75 .000 .01 .01
73 Mexico 0 0 1 1 107 .000 .01 .01
74 India 1 0 0 4 1,137 .001 .00 .00
231 Totals 204 205 231 1457 6,671 .031 .10 .22